Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Fund Manager Commentary
article 08-07-2024

Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Fund Manager Commentary

Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Fund advanced 3.6% for the year-to-date period ended 6/30/24 versus a loss of -0.8% for its primary benchmark, the Russell 2000 Value Index, for the same period. The portfolio also outperformed the benchmark for the 3-, 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-year, and since inception (11/19/96) periods ended 6/30/24.

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Fund Performance

Royce Small-Cap Opportunity Fund advanced 3.6% for the year-to-date period ended 6/30/24 versus a loss of -0.8% for its primary benchmark, the Russell 2000 Value Index, and a gain of 1.7% for the small-cap Russell 2000 Index, for the same period. The portfolio outperformed both indexes for the 3-, 5-, 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-year, and since inception (11/19/96) periods ended 6/30/24.

What Worked... and What Didn’t

Five of the Fund’s 10 equity sectors made positive contributions to performance in 2024’s first half, led by Industrials, Energy, and Information Technology while the leading detractors were Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Real Estate. At the industry level, semiconductors & semiconductor equipment (Information Technology) made the biggest contribution, followed by two groups in Industrials: construction & engineering and aerospace & engineering. The top detractors were communications equipment (Information Technology), professional services, and machinery (both in Industrials).

The Fund’s top contributor at the position level was EverQuote, which operates an online marketplace that connects consumers with both carriers and agents for auto, home, renters, and life insurance. The company generates revenue by selling consumer referrals to providers and from commissions on the policies it sells. Its revenues are highly leveraged to customer acquisition spending patterns of large insurance carriers such as Progressive and Allstate. In the years following the Covid pandemic, these large clients cut back on spending for customer acquisition as supply chain disruptions and inflationary forces pressured profitability. Early in 2024, however, this dynamic pivoted—insurance carriers’ profitability improved, which spurred spending to attract new customers. EverQuote has benefited from this dynamic and announced during its first-quarter earnings call that it expects to see revenue growth in 2024. The company also has a strong cash position that can be used for organic and potentially inorganic growth.

Carpenter Technologies makes specialty nickel and titanium based alloys, which are primarily used by the aerospace & defense industry, as well as gas turbines for power generation and medical implants. Its stock has benefited from demand outpacing supply in the industry as well as Carpenter’s unique asset base, which makes it one of the few global suppliers that can provide the metal used in jet engines and gas fired turbines. While Carpenter is a supplier to Boeing and Airbus—which have been plagued with production problems for new aircraft—it also sells into the aftermarket, where demand has been high as older aircraft fly longer and thus need more maintenance and overhauls. Orion Group Holdings is a specialty construction company that serves the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors, operating in two segments: Marine and Concrete. In the first of these segments, Orion offers a wide range of marine construction services that include marine transportation facility construction, dredging, repair and maintenance, bridge building, marine pipeline construction, and other specialty services, while the Concrete segment is a local business that serves customers mainly in Texas. In September 2022, a new and highly experienced management team came in to help turn the company around, efforts that began to bear fruit in 2024. During the company’s Q1 earnings call, Orion announced a backlog of $756.6 million, as well as a pipeline of opportunities that grew from $3 billion to more than $11 billion in just over a year. The company cited significant opportunities in marine construction driven by infrastructure bills, port upgrades, and significant U.S. Navy projects while also speaking of a data center construction boom that was benefiting their concrete segment.

American Superconductor supplies advanced technologies designed to enhance energy efficiency across power grids, wind power, and military applications. As the market has increasingly recognized the significant power needs associated with Artificial Intelligence (“AI”) and Electric Vehicles “EVs)”, it has come to see the company as a potentially significant supplier into that energy ecosystem. Modine Manufacturing provides thermal management products and solutions. The company has been transitioning from commoditized products focused on the auto industry to more value-added solutions that target better opportunities in areas such as data center construction and EVs. The stock currently reflects the rapid acceleration in data center construction around demand for AI applications. Each contributor was also a top performer relative to the Russell 2000 Value.

The position that detracted most in 2024’s first half was TTEC Holdings, a provider of customer experience (CX) technology and services to large enterprises primarily in the U.S. TTEC suffers from investors’ perception that its business will be disintermediated by AI, which has hurt its valuation multiple. Taking a contrarian view, we believe that TTEC will benefit from AI and that it is in an advantageous position to help its customers adopt AI within their own customer experience functions. Believing that its valuation has not adequately reflected its long-term growth and profit margin opportunity, we used its stock price volatility opportunistically, adding to our position at what we determined were very attractive prices. Applied Optoelectronics manufactures optical products and components. Its stock rose high in 2023 on the back of a large contract win with Microsoft, which coincided with market enthusiasm for AI opportunities. We think its underwhelming performance so far in 2024 reflects a typical correction. We also believe that we are still in the early stages of the buildout of AI applications and that having Microsoft as a lead account should help Applied Optoelectronics benefit going forward.

Manitex International provides an assortment of lifting equipment for construction applications. The company is in the early stages of building out what we hope will eventually be a national network of dealers. After a strong performance in 2023—driven by the solid execution of its growth strategy—its shares have given back gains due to concerns over a slowing economy. Thinking longer term, we built our position based on what we see as a long runway for growth. Entravision Communications is a small, diversified media company that focuses on television and radio broadcasting, primarily targeting Latino audiences in the U.S., as well as digital advertising where the company acts as a sales agent in emerging markets for large social media companies. In March, the company announced that Meta was planning on bringing its sales effort in house and would be terminating its relationship with Entravision. This led to a sell off since Meta represented both a significant amount of Entravision’s revenues and an area of future growth. We chose to exit our position. Arcadium Lithium is a pure play global lithium chemicals producer formed from the merger of Allkem of Australia and U.S. based Livent. The integration of the two companies is underway, and we view the turnaround situation as making progress, although not as linearly as the Street had hoped, which is often the case with mergers. Lithium prices have also come down sharply given the excess supply resulting from the initial bullish demand expectations for EVs. With the inventory correction well underway, we believe prices are at or close to a bottom and expect that that ongoing integration process will be accompanied by an eventual recovery in lithium prices and drive a recovery in the shares. Each detractor also hurt year-to-date results versus the Russell 2000 Value.

The portfolio’s advantage over its benchmark was primarily attributable to stock selection in 2024’s first half, although sector allocation decisions were also additive. At the sector level, stock selection, along with a lesser impact from our overweights, helped most in Industrials and Information Technology while stock selection in Communication Services also provided a sizable boost to relative results. Conversely, stock selection in Consumer Discretionary detracted from relative year-to-date results, albeit marginally.


Top Contributors to Performance Year-to-Date Through 6/30/241

EverQuote Cl. A
Carpenter Technology
Orion Group Holdings
American Superconductor
Modine Manufacturing

1 Includes dividends

Top Detractors from Performance Year-to-Date Through 6/30/242

TTEC Holdings
Applied Optoelectronics
Manitex International
Entravision Communications Cl. A
Arcadium Lithium

2 Net of dividends

Current Positioning and Outlook

With the Federal Reserve holding steady on interest rates steady at its June meeting, the federal funds target rate has remained in the 5.25%-5.50% range since July 2023. We saw weaker economic data in 2Q24, and the Atlanta Fed predicted annualized GDP growth of 1.5% following the 1.4% increase in 1Q24. If the forecasts are accurate, this will result in the two slowest consecutive quarters of economic growth since the first six months of 2022. This weakness is being driven by reduced consumer spending and tempered business investment. Inflation seems to be subsiding, with the Consumer Price Index dropping from 3.5% to 3.3% as of the end of May. All of this suggests that the Fed has room to cut rates, yet is being squeezed on the timing of any cuts as the presidential election draws near.

Our conversations with small-cap management teams keeps us generally optimistic on our positioning, though we have seen continued caution from our Consumer Discretionary holdings. At the end of June, the Fund remained broadly overweight Industrials and Information Technology, and holdings in these sectors were the top contributors to performance in 2Q24. Our outlook for both sectors remains constructive, as each is benefiting from increased spending both by the government and private sector, driven by the ongoing need to maintain and grow U.S. infrastructure, boost our chip-making capabilities, and reshore manufacturing across several industries. AI continued to exert strength in the markets, a trend we expect to continue. AI is driving demand for semiconductor manufacturing, the buildout of physical infrastructure, and the need for energy solutions to power the ongoing buildout of high-power data centers. While most of the talk around AI has focused on the largest companies in the world, we are finding many small-cap companies that are benefiting by providing the ‘picks and shovels’ that enable the infrastructure development required to meet this extraordinary AI driven demand.

Average Annual Total Returns Through 06/30/24 (%)

QTR1 YTD1 1YR 3YR 5YR 10YR 15YR 20YR 25YR SINCE INCEPT.
(11/19/96)
Small-Cap Opportunity -1.513.579.440.8813.528.7113.439.1211.2011.82

Annual Operating Expenses: 1.23

1 Not annualized.

Important Performance, Expense and Disclosure Information

Important Performance and Expense Information

All performance information reflects past performance, is presented on a total return basis, reflects the reinvestment of distributions, and does not reflect the deduction of taxes that a shareholder would pay on fund distributions or the redemption of fund shares. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate, so that shares may be worth more or less than their original cost when redeemed. Current month-end performance may be higher or lower than performance quoted and may be obtained at www.royceinvest.com. Operating expenses reflect the Fund's total annual operating expenses for the Investment Class as of the Fund's most current prospectus and include management fees and other expenses.

Current month-end performance may be obtained at our Prices and Performance page.

Notes to Performance and Other Important Information

The thoughts expressed in this report concerning recent market movements and future prospects for small company stocks are solely the opinion of Royce at June 30, 2024, and, of course, historical market trends are not necessarily indicative of future market movements. Statements regarding the future prospects for particular securities held in the Funds’ portfolios and Royce’s investment intentions with respect to those securities reflect Royce’s opinions as of June 30, 2024 and are subject to change at any time without notice. There can be no assurance that securities mentioned in this report will be included in any Royce-managed portfolio in the future.


As of 6/30/24, the percentage of Fund assets was as follows: EverQuote Cl. A was 0.7%, Carpenter Technology was 0.8%, Orion Group Holdings was 0.7%, American Superconductor was 0.6%, Modine Manufacturing was 0.7%, TTEC Holdings was 0.1%, Applied Optoelectronics was 0.3%, Manitex International was 0.4%, Entravision Communications Cl. A was 0.0%, Arcadium Lithium was 0.3%.


Sector weightings are determined using the Global Industry Classification Standard (“GICS”). GICS was developed by, and is the exclusive property of, Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P”) and MSCI Inc. (“MSCI”). GICS is the trademark of S&P and MSCI. “Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)” and “GICS Direct” are service marks of S&P and MSCI.

All indexes referred to are unmanaged and capitalization weighted. Each index’s returns include net reinvested dividends and/or interest income. Russell Company (“Russell”) is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. Russell® is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell’s express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. The Russell 2000 Index is an index of domestic small-cap stocks. It measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest publicly traded U.S. companies in the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 2000 Value and Growth Indexes consist of the respective value and growth stocks within the Russell 2000 as determined by Russell Investments. The Russell Microcap Index includes 1,000 of the smallest securities in the Russell 2000 Index, along with the next smallest eligible securities as determined by Russell. The Russell 2500 is an unmanaged, capitalization-weighted index of the 2,500 smallest publicly traded U.S. companies in the Russell 3000 index. The returns for the Russell 2500-Financial Sector represent those of the financial services companies within the Russell 2500 index. Source: MSCI. MSCI makes no express or implied warranties or representations and shall have no liability whatsoever with respect to any MSCI data contained herein. The MSCI data may not be further redistributed or used as a basis for other indexes or any securities or financial products. This report is not approved, endorsed, reviewed or produced by MSCI. None of the MSCI data is intended to constitute investment advice or a recommendation to make (or refrain from making) any kind of investment decision and may not be relied on as such. The MSCI ACWI Small Cap Index is an unmanaged, capitalization-weighted index of global small-cap stocks.The MSCI ACWI ex USA Small Cap Index is an index of global small-cap stocks, excluding the United States.The performance of an index does not represent exactly any particular investment, as you cannot invest directly in an index. Returns for the market indexes used in this report were based on information supplied to Royce by Russell Investments. Royce has not independently verified the above described information.

This material contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), that involve risks and uncertainties, including, among others, statements as to:

-the Funds’ future operating results,

-the prospects of the Funds’ portfolio companies,

-the impact of investments that the Funds have made or may make, the dependence of the Funds’ future success on the general economy and its impact on the companies and industries in which the Funds invest, and

-the ability of the Funds’ portfolio companies to achieve their objectives.

This discussion uses words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “future,” “intends,” and similar expressions to identify forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements for any reason.

The Royce Funds have based the forward-looking statements included in this commentary on information available to us on the date of the commentary, and we assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. Although The Royce Funds undertake no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, you are advised to consult any additional disclosures that we may make through future shareholder communications or reports.

This material is not authorized for distribution unless preceded or accompanied by a current prospectus. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing or sending money. Smaller-cap stocks may involve considerably more risk than larger-cap stocks. (Please see “Primary Risks for Fund Investors” in the prospectus.)

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